Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 84.810217 94.771099 104.917089 115.994009 127.716622 139.724807 152.926772
2025-08-03 68.180559 82.464901 97.638737 114.831373 133.650392 153.513811 175.956844
2025-08-10 59.033618 75.796010 94.159151 115.511443 139.416123 165.137562 194.696612
2025-08-17 51.120587 69.467578 90.149256 114.759479 142.852077 173.571171 209.366956
2025-08-24 45.302384 64.885142 87.539242 115.046880 146.969608 182.347112 224.039107
2025-08-31 39.659347 59.961354 84.068501 113.922400 149.114859 188.603569 235.622466
2025-09-07 36.105241 57.265884 82.967720 115.327560 153.967735 197.761321 250.334167
2025-09-14 33.187263 55.109069 82.308066 117.075206 159.070983 207.089870 265.147146
2025-09-21 29.436302 51.554182 79.669160 116.214147 160.912251 212.505060 275.353776
2025-09-28 25.493277 47.412701 76.029672 113.899249 160.826477 215.520094 282.656619
2025-10-05 24.540299 47.330222 77.559357 117.979051 168.439668 227.572345 300.466309
2025-10-12 23.066949 46.380735 77.863050 120.443450 174.033799 237.204217 315.430427
2025-10-19 20.598475 43.819333 75.930002 120.009623 176.062385 242.626336 325.524249
2025-10-26 18.192418 41.149446 73.707432 119.091770 177.410935 247.181438 334.563370
2025-11-02 16.525790 39.478272 72.753428 119.743808 180.655156 253.972355 346.218762
2025-11-09 14.586011 37.188358 70.805551 118.982734 182.041684 258.455221 355.080840
2025-11-16 13.126960 35.557055 69.701956 119.275128 184.710350 264.461695 365.739675
2025-11-23 11.421522 33.323272 67.602398 118.127121 185.463452 268.067945 373.472716
2025-11-30 10.513726 32.426331 67.423432 119.561847 189.517944 275.723798 386.086553
2025-12-07 9.760216 31.741827 67.519594 121.346089 194.007876 283.910619 399.344697
2025-12-14 8.479468 29.898294 65.753303 120.467030 194.970802 287.681367 407.213227
2025-12-21 7.029834 27.507299 63.004312 118.103459 193.904934 288.861826 411.876479
2025-12-28 6.953226 28.002915 64.836926 122.268767 201.490287 300.902535 429.847148